A study by an employers’ organisation has found that two firms in five say high house prices in London make it hard for them to hire and retain skilled staff. Alternatively, employees are having to move a long way out and commute so far that this is affecting their punctuality and reliability.
This has been a problem for some years now, though it became less pressing when the economy turned down and those staff that had jobs were presumably prepared to put up with anything to retain them. It has become pressing again because of the mad spiral of house prices in London and the south east, which have far outstripped ordinary people’s ability to afford the mortgage on them.
It will get worse again as mortgages become harder to get, even if you are prepared to put up with the financial pain, because lenders are now required to ask more searching questions over whether applicants can really afford them.
I know of three couples affected in this way. All in solid, professional jobs. The problem is children. One pair are off to that remote part of the provinces where one comes from, on the grounds that it is more possible there to raise the two children they have and enjoy a decent living standard than in over-heated, over-crowded London. Fine, if your job is exportable.
Two others jacked up borrowings to the limit and bought the property, had the offspring and then found that child care was no longer affordable. The numbers do not stack up; child minders or nannies can wipe out one small salary. Nursery places and after-schools clubs are few and far between, and do not always provide the hours of care that modern jobs require.
It makes having one child, on typical salaries, hard enough. It makes having two out of the question. Expect lots of only children among the urban middle classes, then, the “little emperor” syndrome seen in China after the one-child policy.
In a proper free market, which of course is a concept all employers pay lip service to, then wages for such professional jobs would have to rise to make mortgages and child care affordable again. The numbers suggest they will have to rise an awful long way.
Employers won’t countenance this, which is why you will hear much about how the Government should Do Something. Thereby interfering in that free market, which tends to be something corporates encourage when it is in their interests and scream blue murder about when it is not. Funny, that. This is not a problem that is going to go away.